Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f7eee362a750da7490f3ae2e6b7ac547663eb15cac32c3af680fb2b3d31841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Fils, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fils | 51c | 13,512$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,949.93 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lehecka | 60c | 12,550$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Lehecka | 33c | 6,245$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Lehecka | 50c | 6,075$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Lehecka | 38c | 5,800$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fils | 66c | 3,936$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.77 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fils | 48c | 3,536$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.2 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Lehecka | 48c | 3,305$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.45 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Fils | 61c | 2,886$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fils | 39c | 2,718$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.26 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Fils | 46c | 2,187$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lehecka | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fils | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Fils | 70c | 1,650$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Fils | 45c | 1,543$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Fils | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Fils | 52c | 1,382$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.51 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Lehecka | 42c | 1,329$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.89 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fils | 54c | 1,269$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.29 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fils | 45c | 1,102$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Lehecka | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Lehecka | 38c | 946.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.17 | 155 | 31.6%49 W · 106 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Fils | 51c | 937.25$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Fils | 29c | 800$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Fils | 64c | 766.44$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lehecka | 54c | 739.07$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Lehecka | 58c | 523.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Fils | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Fils | 44c | 499.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Fils | 55c | 444.18$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lehecka | 55c | 426.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fils | 41c | 375.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Fils | 45c | 315.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a02dbacked Fils | 52c | 314.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Fils | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Lehecka | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Lehecka | 52c | 234.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fils | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fils | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fils | 44c | 206.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Lehecka | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Lehecka | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fils | 51c | 175$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Fils | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fils | 45c | 152.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Lehecka | 58c | 136.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Lehecka | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fils | 61c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Lehecka | 23c | 84.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Fils | 53c | 68.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Fils | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6be0backed Fils | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Fils | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Lehecka | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Lehecka | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Fils | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Fils | 42c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Lehecka | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Lehecka | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lehecka | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.