MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0396f2c1f946bc800adcfaf165adf5a645c414cb8f1a5bcca81e24292315fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 52c | 411,664$214,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214,065.12 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Red Sox | 48c | 401,339$192,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,696.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox | 48c | 13,572$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.6 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 38c | 4,144$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.69 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Sox | 49c | 3,791$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.72 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 34c | 3,540$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Red Sox | 67c | 3,400$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox | 45c | 3,106$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.93 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 52c | 2,819$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Twins | 51c | 2,469$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins | 34c | 2,448$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.41 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 52c | 2,404$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.33 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 52c | 2,100$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.23 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Twins | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 51c | 1,991$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,871$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 21c | 1,488$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.36 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Twins | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 46c | 1,171$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.39 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Red Sox | 74c | 990.58$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.77 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 52c | 778.79$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.97 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Twins | 53c | 763.4$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.6 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 48c | 694.44$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.11 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 63c | 624$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Red Sox | 63c | 589.24$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Red Sox | 48c | 586.29$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Twins | 40c | 502.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Red Sox | 63c | 499$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Red Sox | 62c | 491.51$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Red Sox | 65c | 462$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Twins | 56c | 425$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 16c | 416$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…de4fbacked Red Sox | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…121fbacked Twins | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins | 51c | 399.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Twins | 49c | 389$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 17c | 350$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 35c | 307$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Red Sox | 57c | 303.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 50c | 264$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 48c | 242.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 240.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…6b4dbacked Twins | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…0e39backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…9c2fbacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…9d72backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…a812backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0b…a16fbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…d5f7backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…9d17backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…1753backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…70c6backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…e499backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…9310backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…752cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…8706backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…32d7backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…d2f9backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…be9dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…5e61backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…f8f3backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.