MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d46087367fd7d4ecf75a751c0d2d9beb37841f6553af1df134b92e91f648666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Astros, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Red Sox | 42c | 13,371$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.28 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 8,888$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.52 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 55c | 6,731$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.99 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astros | 54c | 5,876$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.83 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 57c | 5,718$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.05 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 46c | 4,352$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.55 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 42c | 3,945$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.31 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Astros | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.18 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 44c | 2,634$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…50d3backed Red Sox | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…edf7backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 54c | 1,619$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 68c | 1,400$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…170bbacked Astros | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 49c | 1,391$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.88 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 45c | 1,329$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 54c | 1,269$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…f4a3backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 54c | 1,132$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 46c | 1,101$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed Astros | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Astros | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 43c | 1,078$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.49 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Red Sox | 47c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.06 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Red Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…de6bbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Red Sox | 45c | 940$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 37c | 921.69$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Red Sox | 46c | 850$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…8274backed Astros | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Red Sox | 46c | 795.21$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 51c | 790.66$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Astros | 74c | 700.8$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 44c | 696.73$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 51c | 689.38$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.73 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Astros | 61c | 642.39$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 66c | 569.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Red Sox | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 50c | 451.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Red Sox | 59c | 450$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Red Sox | 41c | 443.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Astros | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 44c | 354.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 351.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 29c | 347.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 333.63$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox | 46c | 325.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 47c | 322.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Red Sox | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Red Sox | 40c | 302.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 43c | 295.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 46c | 279.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Astros | 49c | 267.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 59c | 218.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Astros | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Astros | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Red Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Astros | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Astros | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Red Sox | 48c | 191$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Astros | 46c | 189.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Astros | 9c | 186$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Red Sox | 45c | 178$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 54c | 177.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…ec03backed Astros | 55c | 173$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 72c | 168.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Astros | 55c | 167$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Red Sox | 54c | 164.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Red Sox | 45c | 162$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox | 62c | 161.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 52c | 149.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Astros | 54c | 148.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Red Sox | 39c | 132.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Astros | 54c | 121.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Red Sox | 36c | 120.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Red Sox | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Astros | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Red Sox | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 55c | 108.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.