Tennis · resolved market
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Dzumhur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e228ed5808961acd3a84c25606e8750d8897475b7453ca0223fae010fefc7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabernerof Taberner, Dzumhur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dzumhur | 31c | 9,153$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.42 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Taberner | 75c | 8,079$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.29 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Taberner | 57c | 4,570$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.81 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Taberner | 47c | 1,409$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.79 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Dzumhur | 38c | 1,254$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.75 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dzumhur | 52c | 1,127$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.4 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Dzumhur | 24c | 850$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dzumhur | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Taberner | 59c | 497.15$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dzumhur | 39c | 493.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dzumhur | 55c | 488.78$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Taberner | 46c | 432.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Taberner | 49c | 381.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dzumhur | 46c | 274$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Taberner | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Taberner | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Taberner | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Dzumhur | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…450dbacked Dzumhur | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Dzumhur | 55c | 100.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Dzumhur | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Dzumhur | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Dzumhur | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dzumhur | 37c | 94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Dzumhur | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Taberner | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Dzumhur | 35c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Dzumhur | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.