MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f8d937abea69bc6ce4937373888012aae0d054b473362c3957a1b907903190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Pirates | 41c | 310,656$126,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,553.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 60c | 113,557$67,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,969.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Giants | 59c | 87,600$51,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,684 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 60c | 64,603$38,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,481.9 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Giants | 60c | 27,056$16,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,266.79 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 60c | 25,957$15,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,574.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 40c | 25,555$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 56c | 15,049$8,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,367.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 59c | 9,800$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 61c | 7,245$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 39c | 6,023$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.03 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 44c | 5,637$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.76 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Giants | 60c | 5,032$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants | 60c | 4,972$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.91 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 39c | 4,371$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.85 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Giants | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.12 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Giants | 34c | 3,097$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.62 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 61c | 2,975$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.22 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 28c | 2,558$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.86 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Pirates | 39c | 2,020$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.5 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pirates | 37c | 1,976$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.74 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 40c | 1,972$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.05 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 5c | 1,889$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Pirates | 41c | 1,851$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.63 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Giants | 51c | 1,580$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Giants | 61c | 1,243$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.12 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,148$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.14 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,111$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.71 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Giants | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 40c | 880$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 39c | 850$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 38c | 785.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.89 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 40c | 740$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 40c | 716.21$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.99 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Giants | 65c | 659.71$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.44 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Giants | 68c | 655.84$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Giants | 61c | 650$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Pirates | 39c | 649.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Giants | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…8222backed Giants | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 60c | 598$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Giants | 66c | 571.52$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.87 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Giants | 61c | 554.06$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 60c | 528.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.86 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 38c | 525.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.24 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 9c | 495.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Giants | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Pirates | 70c | 443.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Pirates | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Pirates | 42c | 390$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 47c | 380.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Giants | 59c | 380$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Pirates | 39c | 350.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giants | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Pirates | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pirates | 37c | 314.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 39c | 299.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 57c | 277.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 44c | 274.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Giants | 61c | 270$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Pirates | 39c | 265$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Giants | 67c | 238.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Giants | 9c | 235$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Pirates | 40c | 227.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 59c | 220.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Pirates | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pirates | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Pirates | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Giants | 52c | 175.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Giants | 61c | 171.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Giants | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Giants | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Giants | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Pirates | 40c | 159$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Pirates | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Pirates | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Pirates | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Pirates | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 39c | 138.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…3a8abacked Giants | 58c | 136$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.