CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. 3DMAX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ad719c82a3387222a60cdac07b9065f193488b922e7fac65633f14fb10f08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof The MongolZ, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked 3DMAX | 27c | 69,478$18,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,759.13 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked The MongolZ | 73c | 37,195$27,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.56 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked The MongolZ | 73c | 20,068$14,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed The MongolZ | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked The MongolZ | 78c | 3,586$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked 3DMAX | 22c | 3,468$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed The MongolZ | 74c | 2,176$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.63 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked The MongolZ | 73c | 1,644$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked The MongolZ | 74c | 1,350$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.01 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ | 73c | 1,137$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked 3DMAX | 26c | 933$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed 3DMAX | 12c | 877.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked The MongolZ | 73c | 604.9$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed 3DMAX | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed The MongolZ | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 73c | 331.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked The MongolZ | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed 3DMAX | 13c | 270$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed 3DMAX | 25c | 214$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed The MongolZ | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed The MongolZ | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed The MongolZ | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed 3DMAX | 22c | 199.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed The MongolZ | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed The MongolZ | 72c | 151.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed 3DMAX | 9c | 149.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ | 72c | 123$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed The MongolZ | 72c | 103.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked The MongolZ | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked 3DMAX | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed 3DMAX | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 3DMAX | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked The MongolZ | 73c | 86.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked The MongolZ | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ | 79c | 81.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed 3DMAX | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed The MongolZ | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed The MongolZ | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed The MongolZ | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed The MongolZ | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed The MongolZ | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed 3DMAX | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked The MongolZ | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked The MongolZ | 73c | 28.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…5066backed The MongolZ | 73c | 21.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf043…61d9backed The MongolZ | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked The MongolZ | 78c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed The MongolZ | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.