Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b52e3ea646e2144d28997762e70b3f521668bf617ba262b36cd9e9426e370a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88bb…c12bbacked Yes | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,599.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…7becbacked Yes | 23c | 2,121$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 11c | 2,029$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.59 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…93e2backed No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 17c | 872.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.57 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 11c | 843.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 49c | 803.42$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0749…6de9backed Yes | 10c | 755$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…3bffbacked Yes | 21c | 713.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 12c | 700$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 10c | 494.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +229.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 24c | 489.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Yes | 9c | 369.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 13c | 356.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed Yes | 14c | 356.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +613.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 26c | 345.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…bf14backed Yes | 58c | 343.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 341.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.28 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…a5a7backed No | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 285.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 61c | 285.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…c63cbacked Yes | 6c | 269$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,463%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…0666backed Yes | 43c | 256.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 245$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 61c | 216.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…acdbbacked No | 13c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…1f1fbacked No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 74c | 199.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…422ebacked Yes | 8c | 197.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,187.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 6c | 179.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…b2ccbacked No | 80c | 162.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…f319backed No | 73c | 159.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…1e09backed Yes | 17c | 152.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…f622backed Yes | 54c | 152$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64d…b164backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +584.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c9…d8a9backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…376bbacked Yes | 10c | 149.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +934.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…add8backed Yes | 66c | 148.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed Yes | 8c | 134.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…aab7backed Yes | 12c | 126.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…ba8abacked Yes | 42c | 117.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 28c | 107.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 68c | 102.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…97c8backed Yes | 11c | 102.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +848.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749d…1fb3backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…5cc2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Yes | 15c | 97.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 14c | 94.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…9ec2backed Yes | 51c | 88.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4494…abd6backed No | 43c | 87.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 86.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…2862backed Yes | 62c | 80.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…f4f5backed Yes | 18c | 77.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a7c7backed Yes | 14c | 70.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…e924backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…da05backed Yes | 51c | 63.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 18c | 61.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 31c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b1c2backed Yes | 52c | 55.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…5ee1backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6cd0backed No | 40c | 45.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…4535backed No | 35c | 45.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…c3b2backed Yes | 24c | 41.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked Yes | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked No | 31c | 35.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…1a5ebacked No | 58c | 35.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 30.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f8…865ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…9d6fbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…35febacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…230bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…3628backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…100fbacked No | 67c | 17.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…5e24backed No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in May?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.