Olympics · resolved market
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bfd82adee74a8b1127172504f50c79d4ab91831fec6816a1c2a7278afe8ddeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 2,457$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.89 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 55c | 1,954$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.9 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 59c | 1,460$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…5f46backed Yes | 41c | 1,313$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 36c | 1,008$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 852.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 837$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 40c | 801.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 52c | 508.91$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 66c | 507.63$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 47c | 504.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 38cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 36c | 489.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 440.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 65c | 390.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 54c | 320.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 35c | 285.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 68c | 282.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…504fbacked Yes | 48c | 224.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 45c | 219.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 28c | 208.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 59c | 198.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 46c | 197.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…dc7fbacked Yes | 41c | 183.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes | 13c | 182.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 60c | 182.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Yes | 55c | 168.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Yes | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 36c | 157.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 26c | 144.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…d23ebacked Yes | 34c | 142.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 31c | 140.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 132.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…76e7backed Yes | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 125.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 48c | 124.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 53c | 111.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 35c | 99.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…1ac6backed Yes | 49c | 94.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 43c | 90.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 89.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…7c0abacked Yes | 38c | 76.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 47c | 76.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 26c | 75.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 72.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…d039backed Yes | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Yes | 42c | 58.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 79c | 53.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…743cbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 53c | 51.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…a05cbacked Yes | 39c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 46c | 46.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes | 26c | 46.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 23c | 45.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…0bbfbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…40fabacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…6272backed Yes | 43c | 40.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 55c | 35.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…8795backed No | 70c | 34.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 43c | 34.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 45c | 32.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 55c | 30.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…e293backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x359a…8844backed No | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 65c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked No | 64c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will South Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.