Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e184f819eae2ba9327f3a944d1dec67a6883cf130abc2f51a5d56955d395882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,877 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 11,370$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 8,886$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.89 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 7,445$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 57c | 4,792$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 41c | 2,602$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 41c | 2,583$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 42c | 2,313$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 2,310$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.01 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 2,084$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.07 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 2,052$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.02 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,999$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 1,870$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,581$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 1,530$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.87 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…39e8backed Yes | 40c | 1,362$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 1,325$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,283$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.03 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,224$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,198$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 1,109$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 1,090$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 44c | 922.84$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 43c | 838.76$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Yes | 11c | 832.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 39c | 824.21$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 772.04$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 689.67$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.95 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 2c | 689.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…06a3backed Yes | 33c | 592.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 58c | 545.41$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…0fe7backed Yes | 24c | 462.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 7c | 428.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 24c | 415.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 392$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked No | 57c | 365.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 43c | 346.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 30c | 345$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…144dbacked Yes | 42c | 315.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 42c | 297$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 285$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…cf6fbacked Yes | 44c | 250.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 27c | 224.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 213.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 38c | 208.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd0…56d8backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 42c | 185.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 42c | 181$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 147$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 58c | 141.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 8c | 141$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…ab47backed Yes | 41c | 123.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Yes | 38c | 118.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 76c | 118$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 43c | 116.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…c88bbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 58c | 100.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…4c0bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 30c | 98.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 22c | 94.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked No | 58c | 92.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 22c | 89.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 59c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…1b29backed Yes | 57c | 87.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 59c | 81.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…2f1fbacked Yes | 44c | 72.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.