TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Gael Monfils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vacherotof Vacherot, Monfils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Vacherot75c45,702$34,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,597.648851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Monfils22c34,457$7,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,595.572,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Monfils18c11,321$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.862,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Monfils32c10,472$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32341645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed Monfils14c8,222$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.521216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Monfils30c6,425$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.6414351%73 W · 70 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Monfils7c6,196$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.86,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Monfils26c5,285$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Monfils13c4,881$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vacherot76c4,781$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.442,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vacherot74c4,449$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.7465459%386 W · 268 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Vacherot72c3,729$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.3644360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Monfils29c3,641$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.3455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Monfils38c3,421$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Monfils23c3,157$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.7781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Vacherot72c2,970$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.2675046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Monfils24c2,822$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.741,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Monfils23c2,644$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.11,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Vacherot76c2,629$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.218262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Vacherot72c2,467$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.348042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Vacherot73c2,063$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.953,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Monfils14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,40428.7%403 W · 1,001 L+4.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Monfils30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9992655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vacherot75c1,991$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0644754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Monfils27c1,971$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2136…6ef0backed Vacherot71c1,940$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Monfils23c1,916$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.1399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…06e6backed Monfils29c1,910$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Monfils8c1,796$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Vacherot72c1,786$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.245457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Vacherot70c1,652$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Vacherot74c1,557$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.425565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Vacherot70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Monfils24c1,440$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.113647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Monfils24c1,435$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Vacherot71c1,347$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6615860.8%96 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Monfils30c1,340$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.68555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Vacherot69c1,300$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.995860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Monfils27c1,055$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4335032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Monfils30c1,039$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.651,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Vacherot62c999$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6231753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Monfils30c991.23$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30242344%186 W · 237 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Vacherot76c980.12$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.122969%20 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Monfils28c928.66$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.021,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Monfils29c856$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Vacherot72c811.11$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1126158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…7909backed Vacherot74c763.73$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Vacherot72c747.33$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Vacherot74c737.68$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.688056.3%45 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Vacherot79c729.9$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Monfils19c725.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.778,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Monfils11c721.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Monfils14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,12827.9%315 W · 813 L+1.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Vacherot77c650.03$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.511376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Vacherot62c645.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.274763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Monfils30c599.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18031850.3%160 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Vacherot76c547.21$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3914947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monfils25c518.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0313…a2c7backed Monfils14c506.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.961752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Vacherot71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14549632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Monfils18c478.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.533050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Vacherot72c426.9$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5341060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c2eabacked Vacherot78c420.49$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.641060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Monfils28c409.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.764,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Monfils25c395.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.126,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Vacherot62c375.81$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.813756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Vacherot75c360.21$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.452,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe289…c31abacked Vacherot72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.226259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Monfils31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9336349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Monfils22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Vacherot70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Vacherot70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7153058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Vacherot70c285.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0215070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Monfils33c267.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2372661.8%449 W · 277 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Vacherot75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6720039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Vacherot77c264.88$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0713356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Monfils29c242.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.343353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Monfils29c239.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.481,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Monfils29c237.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.755731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Monfils28c225.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Vacherot62c225.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.816060%36 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Monfils13c223.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7823847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Vacherot70c215.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3850852.2%265 W · 243 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vacherot75c214.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.752,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Vacherot71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2721758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Monfils29c208.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4318133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31b…5069backed Monfils12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58a…71a1backed Vacherot62c196.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…4680backed Vacherot62c192$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Monfils29c187.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.411,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Vacherot62c181.79$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Vacherot72c173.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6154348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6c…1c75backed Vacherot72c159.13$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.557374%54 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Monfils32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Vacherot72c152.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.735761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Vacherot70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4517863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817e…537ebacked Vacherot69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934040%16 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Vacherot62c139.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.073063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Vacherot72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8918659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monfils30c138$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.