Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8381e51a4e0880df96395b716815f25e435f22517c6e0600a743d0252c66ae7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 2,532$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 34c | 1,418$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.76 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,368$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.54 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 30c | 1,040$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 739.48$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 716$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 12c | 572.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 32c | 465.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8f…1d91backed Yes | 32c | 465.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 382$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 72c | 361.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 348$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 34c | 329.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 17c | 310.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 272.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 174.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 29c | 171.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 34c | 126.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 11c | 122.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 23c | 88.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 49.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 33c | 46.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.