NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660ccca036206630bc9a57d05e48f45a71454cb73da3dfcd4a52128d63265f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 3,366$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.89 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 2,245$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 51c | 2,080$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.8 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 51c | 2,076$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.84 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 49c | 1,591$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 48c | 776.92$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 325$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 240.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Over | 51c | 79.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Over | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…02b3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. KingsBruins won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.