Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd039074f176ad7f11a6b56d370579f8a8ccd6c0b275f3d565b139e2d9730f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7018…4eeebacked Yes | 0c | 10,620$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…f00dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,093$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 1,797$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 1,074$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 80c | 730.16$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 63c | 675.51$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 74c | 627.56$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 594.9$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 11c | 526.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 20c | 491.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 488.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +134%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 15c | 398.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 4c | 328$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 32c | 316.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 14c | 290.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 265.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 11c | 174.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…b9c3backed Yes | 79c | 170.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 20c | 157$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 145.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 145$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…61c8backed Yes | 45c | 112.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 17c | 109.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 106.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…d2cdbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…2803backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…0d0dbacked Yes | 79c | 82.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 15c | 80.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 19c | 72.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…0fcdbacked Yes | 18c | 71.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 20c | 63.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ce…ac76backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 77c | 51.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 73c | 44.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 65c | 41.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 36c | 30.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…bb49backed Yes | 76c | 26.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…c3c9backed Yes | 80c | 25.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…0a1cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…5e24backed Yes | 76c | 16.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 79c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.