Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd20db28bf3413a78baf71bc47f403cf502ed5f4ed606a8c9a86ba8cc29c6ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 4,518$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.06 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,611$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,215$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 1,903$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.05 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 1,152$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.69 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 960.22$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 685.6$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 664.55$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 568.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.75 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 25c | 331.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 252.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 37c | 174.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 172$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 45c | 31.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…a884backed Yes | 52c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 49c | 25.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…82d1backed Yes | 53c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…4c41backed Yes | 53c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…2ccbbacked Yes | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.