Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f3c262f11f5fccdcf3309a79a53eaff6d9b4cc129d93550e60583600c4122c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 4,162$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 3,382$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 3,210$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 66c | 2,917$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.34 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 953.76$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.88 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 23c | 432.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 420.38$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 60c | 388.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 23c | 313.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 24c | 275$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 272$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 218$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 197.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 75c | 175$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 27c | 169.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 154.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 70c | 106.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 57c | 71.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…add6backed Yes | 71c | 65.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 78c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 28c | 55.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 77c | 53.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a5…c4c1backed No | 47c | 42.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 60c | 40.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…ecbabacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.