Premier League · resolved market
Brighton vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44db5a296fa8ab4096508e98ae1fbdd33461cdf988896d262d8d52de33e75b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 47c | 6,522$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.15 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Over | 53c | 888.43$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 650.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 443.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Over | 54c | 443.37$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Over | 52c | 373.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 298.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Over | 51c | 295.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…1f13backed Over | 53c | 227.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7c30backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Over | 52c | 95.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…158bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 80.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…c16cbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Over | 53c | 47.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 51c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Under | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…91b8backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5this page
- Brighton vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Brighton (-0.5)Brighton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.