Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a07612d60d8cf9359b3bb85849cc5a44e20d4069283c1e5797869bfc2c3d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brightonof Brighton, Leeds United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Brighton | 49c | 6,998$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.94 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leeds United | 51c | 6,165$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Leeds United | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Leeds United | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Leeds United | 54c | 327.92$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Brighton | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Brighton | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Leeds United | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Brighton | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Leeds United | 49c | 100.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Leeds United | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Leeds United | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…3717backed Brighton | 48c | 89.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Leeds United | 47c | 76.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Brighton | 50c | 50.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…3d2cbacked Brighton | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Leeds United | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Leeds United | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…9729backed Brighton | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Brighton | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Brighton | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba2…a5ecbacked Brighton | 50c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…9e28backed Leeds United | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Brighton | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton (-0.5)this page
- Brighton vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.