NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6732538fda649867d5cfa76ca893ec64f9b51bc0622c6d07b596c1148b34d42c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Under | 1c | 17,560$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 11,025$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.5 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 10,912$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 48c | 10,518$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.69 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 52c | 9,606$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.27 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 4,088$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Over | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Under | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 2,393$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.36 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 47c | 1,226$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.31 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,046$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.14 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 52c | 818.49$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.61 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 52c | 648$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 592.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…b838backed Under | 5c | 576.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 497$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 48c | 481.31$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.28 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Under | 52c | 351.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Under | 53c | 266.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…00f8backed Over | 56c | 264$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Over | 49c | 255.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Over | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 54c | 133.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 124.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 119.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 52c | 113.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843f…a78bbacked Under | 54c | 111.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…b669backed Under | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 78.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Under | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 48.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Over | 49c | 44.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 52c | 33.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…0ecabacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…81f6backed Under | 53c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…f0c5backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Blue JacketsWild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.