NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8444ea9545c5ea9a2690794e834d2723a419da6f130fc75866b2590ae440b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 32c | 2,301$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.35 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 1,261$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.08 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets | 67c | 902.64$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.26 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 609.11$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.19 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Wild | 32c | 600$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Blue Jackets | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 32c | 532.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Blue Jackets | 72c | 288.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Blue Jackets | 72c | 223.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Wild | 32c | 202.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blue Jackets | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 96.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wild | 29c | 74.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Wild | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Wild | 40c | 64.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 52.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 50.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Blue Jackets | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Wild | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Wild | 31c | 47.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 30c | 39.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…81f6backed Wild | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blue Jackets | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 28.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 25.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Blue Jackets | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 24.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Blue Jackets | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. Blue JacketsWild won
- Wild vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.