NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6855f5acedf07e431f683fc0de7c723f894feaba94e1c35adc6994e3bea6df0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 7c | 447.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 48c | 219$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…21c9backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…2b9fbacked Under | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…76d3backed Under | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…eddabacked Over | 54c | 188$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…a721backed Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…ebccbacked Over | 54c | 179$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…7437backed Under | 46c | 172$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…2363backed Over | 54c | 158$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 48c | 125.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 52c | 95.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 94.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 89.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 50c | 83.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 67.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Over | 53c | 38.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.