NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f628bc0a43617744661fd05882412d08099393694a9cfe085bbb6d8a588f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 53c | 73,206$38,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,406.6 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Suns | 47c | 33,500$15,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,745 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 51c | 31,114$15,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,273.74 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 47c | 20,977$9,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,859.15 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 49c | 16,640$8,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 48c | 13,780$6,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Thunder | 54c | 12,001$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.51 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 53c | 11,288$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.21 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Thunder | 51c | 11,263$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 10,095$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Suns | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 49c | 8,960$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 48c | 8,771$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder | 53c | 6,489$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.73 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 52c | 6,214$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.77 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 47c | 5,027$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.88 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Thunder | 51c | 4,618$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.06 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 52c | 4,590$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 50c | 4,287$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.19 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…da08backed Thunder | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed Suns | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…d8febacked Thunder | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Suns | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,970$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…31d0backed Suns | 51c | 3,970$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…6bdcbacked Suns | 51c | 3,900$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Thunder | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Suns | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.04 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Suns | 47c | 2,835$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.45 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Thunder | 55c | 2,693$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.73 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Suns | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,068$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 53c | 2,032$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 47c | 1,989$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.78 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Thunder | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 51c | 1,943$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 40c | 1,892$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Suns | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Suns | 51c | 1,648$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.3 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 49c | 1,640$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.23 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Thunder | 51c | 1,378$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.05 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 63c | 1,339$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Suns | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Suns | 38c | 1,180$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Suns | 46c | 1,161$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.17 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,106$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.98 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Suns | 47c | 1,032$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Suns | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Suns | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…2546backed Thunder | 52c | 962.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Thunder | 50c | 949.79$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.29 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Thunder | 54c | 928.26$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Suns | 49c | 800$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Thunder | 50c | 800$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…0e64backed Thunder | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Thunder | 51c | 791.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.27 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 51c | 624.43$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Thunder | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Suns | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…0c9fbacked Suns | 50c | 594$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Thunder | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Thunder | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Suns | 49c | 327$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Suns | 50c | 301.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Thunder | 53c | 281.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Suns | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 51c | 196.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Suns | 50c | 185.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 49c | 185.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 50c | 177.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…9033backed Suns | 51c | 151.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Suns | 18c | 137.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Suns | 50c | 134.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Thunder | 50c | 128.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Thunder | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…739abacked Suns | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Thunder | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Thunder | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Thunder | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Suns | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Thunder | 50c | 93.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Thunder | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Suns | 52c | 89.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.