NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a9902dea95e864be03591a9247f44543fdd75ebd7b50b4c4de47c7285842b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Raptors | 24c | 27,169$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.04 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 15,610$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,859.77 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Nuggets | 69c | 10,000$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.86 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 60c | 8,180$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.46 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 59c | 5,920$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.1 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…330ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,832$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…dde1backed Raptors | 55c | 5,627$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…5155backed Raptors | 33c | 4,633$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 49c | 4,371$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.36 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 33c | 4,243$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.59 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Raptors | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,825$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…ef8bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 3,520$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…ac92backed Raptors | 49c | 3,520$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 50c | 3,485$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.19 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Nuggets | 65c | 3,351$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 41c | 3,292$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 44c | 3,000$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Raptors | 31c | 3,000$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Raptors | 46c | 2,848$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.2 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Nuggets | 42c | 2,062$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.7 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Nuggets | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 54c | 1,968$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Nuggets | 61c | 1,953$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.26 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,641$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.21 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,474$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,376$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 39c | 1,330$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.18 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Raptors | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,279$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Raptors | 47c | 1,174$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 29c | 1,147$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,067$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.93 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Nuggets | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,054$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.39 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,035$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.9 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…ca09backed Nuggets | 51c | 973.33$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raptors | 33c | 909.43$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.15 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…9062backed Raptors | 49c | 873.85$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Raptors | 35c | 789.54$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Nuggets | 57c | 748.2$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Raptors | 25c | 627.26$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Nuggets | 74c | 606.24$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Raptors | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Raptors | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Nuggets | 71c | 567.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Raptors | 34c | 563.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Nuggets | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nuggets | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Nuggets | 72c | 477.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 46c | 438.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…1e03backed Nuggets | 54c | 436.6$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Raptors | 37c | 404.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Nuggets | 65c | 400.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…d576backed Nuggets | 51c | 394.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nuggets | 46c | 383.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Nuggets | 62c | 379.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Nuggets | 47c | 379.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Nuggets | 80c | 377.5$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nuggets | 51c | 377.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 37c | 372.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Raptors | 30c | 358$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Nuggets | 67c | 354.23$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Raptors | 28c | 337.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Raptors | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Nuggets | 48c | 312.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Raptors | 27c | 302.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Nuggets | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Raptors | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed Raptors | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Raptors | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Nuggets | 46c | 290.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Raptors | 53c | 283.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Nuggets | 57c | 281.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Raptors | 38c | 276.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Nuggets | 65c | 275.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Raptors | 20c | 250.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 51c | 248.07$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 231.63$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…e4a0backed Nuggets | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Raptors | 42c | 229.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Nuggets | 56c | 228.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Raptors | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Nuggets | 61c | 208.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…524abacked Raptors | 51c | 208.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Raptors | 25c | 206.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nuggets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.