College Football · resolved market
Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa212174f813f882a1fa72596919bff99fd78378798041d615f377acd72eafdb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 120,381$61,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,048.52 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 95,191$47,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,175.44 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 11,259$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.25 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 7,986$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.52 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 48c | 1,200$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Over | 61c | 904.76$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.55 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 39c | 872.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.18 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 45c | 89.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Over | 53c | 68.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 47.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 47c | 26.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 52.5this page
- Boise State vs. WashingtonWashington won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 53.5Under won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 54.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Washington (-10.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-8.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-8.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-9.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.