College Football · resolved market
O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d2321b5d12197a958f4e8555d23a8a7cb4bbfd02f2f833521560f630f58001f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 46,664$19,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,533.27 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 57c | 28,141$16,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Over | 61c | 24,000$14,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,671.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 38c | 2,656$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.03 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 39c | 2,169$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.37 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Over | 62c | 1,260$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.43 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…fe7bbacked Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 39c | 925.64$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 43c | 326$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 298.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 267.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 40c | 238$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Over | 61c | 211.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 159$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 127.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 39c | 106.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 103.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Under | 46c | 76.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…a8c5backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…eca9backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…1056backed Over | 59c | 27.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…91aabacked Over | 62c | 24.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe9abacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 51.5this page
- Boise State vs. WashingtonWashington won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 52.5Under won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 53.5Under won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Washington (-10.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-8.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-8.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-9.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.