College Football · resolved market
Spread: Washington (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139ebbb04751e9c1b7203d161c6a68cde2d659a2f074a23a5fd07ede49686513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Washington, Boise State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State | 46c | 5,593$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.78 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Washington | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Boise State | 47c | 3,657$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.73 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Washington | 53c | 3,594$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Boise State | 47c | 154$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Boise State | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Boise State | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Boise State | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Washington | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Washington | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Washington | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Boise State | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Washington | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Washington | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Washington | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Washington | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Washington | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Washington | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Washington | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Washington | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Washington | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington (-8.5)this page
- Boise State vs. WashingtonWashington won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 52.5Under won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 53.5Under won
- Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 54.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Washington (-10.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-8.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-9.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.