Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df657f8c528206908ab8121e0c558251c3d8e637e47936ca48e240eff65bb28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 7,935$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.46 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 3,329$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.39 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 54c | 3,162$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 2,886$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 1,980$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 1,464$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.55 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 1,385$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 67c | 1,107$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.66 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 999.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…271cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 946.25$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 25c | 665$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 24c | 69.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 60.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 60.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 40.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Ohio State BuckeyesIllinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.