TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Browns (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof Browns, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Titans52c143,086$74,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,088.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Browns48c70,288$33,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,738.2886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Titans51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,40011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Browns49c51,236$25,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,105.6411445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Titans51c45,053$22,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,075.8216860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Browns49c33,000$16,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,1705756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Browns49c26,186$12,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,860.5447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Browns48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Browns48c19,674$9,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,418.151,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Browns48c18,734$8,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,993.3775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Browns47c17,867$8,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,378.150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Titans52c16,436$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,889.813560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns48c14,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,72083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Titans52c13,587$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,587.355658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Browns45c9,471$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2903056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Titans50c7,941$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.1814252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Titans49c7,432$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.155152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…adbfbacked Browns51c5,520$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.412240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Browns52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Browns47c4,868$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.2256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Titans51c3,762$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.4451352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Browns50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Browns48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Titans67c2,370$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.6568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Titans49c2,056$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.4460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Browns46c1,995$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns48c1,621$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.651,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Titans52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.2439754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Browns50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Browns46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69519439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Titans52c1,443$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.6912550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Browns49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9926650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Browns49c987.76$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Browns51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Titans51c956$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Browns48c935.27$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Browns49c921.39$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.484250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Titans52c854.93$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3710156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Titans46c848.11$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.9818156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns49c840$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.644652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Browns49c799$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5122450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Browns55c748.02$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2831450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Browns52c739.67$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Titans52c736$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2813959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Browns40c714.38$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Titans50c681.97$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8265048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Browns51c650.98$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3325949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Titans49c619.79$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7836341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Browns51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Browns49c453$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Browns46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Browns50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003030%9 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Browns47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Browns51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Browns49c355$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9547738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Browns49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd496…9c86backed Browns49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Browns49c240.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Titans52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7711650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Browns51c230$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.313448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Browns49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Browns52c202.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Titans49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10259453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Browns50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Browns49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Browns50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Browns50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Browns49c197.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.583661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Titans52c184$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3210752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Browns37c169$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5312954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Browns52c145.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2835648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Titans52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Titans52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.610461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Titans52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.615556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Titans52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.616360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Titans51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Titans51c122.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.186165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Titans50c120.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0411054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Browns49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9410356.3%58 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Browns35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3619124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Titans52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Browns49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Browns51c98.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Titans51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0412843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Titans52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Titans65c85.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.227044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Browns50c79.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Browns51c77.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5531240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Titans49c77.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.556254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Browns49c76.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5312245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.049659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0415453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0412459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0410964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0410464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0412458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0410565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.049162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Titans52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0410958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.