TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Browns: O/U 34.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under52c30,269$15,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,769.6886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over48c20,907$10,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,872.413560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c2,082$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.6410156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c1,979$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.8556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c1,650$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.371,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c1,140$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c1,058$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2153253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.415754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over47c859.39$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.7115446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over48c842.43$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1632050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c735.67$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6220661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over49c718$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5934349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3789248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over49c650$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.518744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c624$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4813959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c485$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4415252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Under54c437.66$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.313641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c347.77$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.81,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under52c309.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16083447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Under39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11713435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over45c264$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c250$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9517656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under51c227.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9419459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Under51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.220650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c220$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.716957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c207$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6420555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c204.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Under54c186.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over46c172$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.888750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c156$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1210752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.614060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over62c150.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1320757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over61c140$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.828552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4812356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4810461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4815556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4816360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over48c122$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4420238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c110.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c105.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2511859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over48c103$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5611253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0411758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7614951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c75.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.124243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over47c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6211463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over47c62.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6210361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4711058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7213357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.729659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7215453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7212459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7212458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.729162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.729164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7211265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7211552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5210155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.529659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.529757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5211056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5211856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.524365.1%28 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.529751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over48c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4412057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under51c41.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9434652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3211658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3210761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3210757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.329862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012148.8%59 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1210359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c44…e936backed Under54c25.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.