CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380d025479c9b8b48a26a734f529b837723d6956758b23d222abd7b20b7f8d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Fake do Biru | 61c | 4,712$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.81 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Marsborne | 37c | 1,429$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.33 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Marsborne | 38c | 1,232$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.8 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marsborne | 35c | 971.67$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.47 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marsborne | 45c | 628.14$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 28c | 537.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.44 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marsborne | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 41c | 361.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.72 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…cab8backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 269.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 226.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Marsborne | 33c | 226$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Marsborne | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Marsborne | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 146.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Marsborne | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Marsborne | 35c | 56.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Marsborne | 40c | 53.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Marsborne | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Fake do Biru | 61c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.