MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8f7da2b0c7df49d1457018e1bd85554d551cee9ac6410f7744c9641c1d5538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 40c | 3,655$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.75 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 3,327$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…4aaabacked Under | 54c | 3,200$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 39c | 3,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.97 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 33c | 2,276$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 1,473$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 63c | 1,387$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 51c | 1,200$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…d0b5backed Over | 56c | 766.13$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…2245backed Over | 78c | 766.12$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 69c | 620$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 52c | 584.92$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Over | 4c | 407.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 58c | 399.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 338.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 256.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 64c | 246.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…fcaebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Over | 47c | 207.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 62c | 178$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 58c | 174.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Under | 29c | 169.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Over | 64c | 160$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 61c | 148.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 22c | 139.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Over | 50c | 74.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 68.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Under | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 48c | 50.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 51c | 46.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 61c | 39.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 64c | 39.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 76c | 36.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…0849backed Over | 54c | 36.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…444bbacked Under | 50c | 35.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Under | 50c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 72c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…effcbacked Over | 62c | 28.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 41c | 28.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Under | 65c | 27.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 52c | 24.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Over | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Over | 63c | 23.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 60c | 23.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Under | 62c | 22.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3e…7cd1backed Under | 58c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…1391backed Under | 50c | 20.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…e6cebacked Under | 67c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.