MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbdc30604f0f3c91bb49b44714a505332a6fd51e2f5d809c39677d30f90dc82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 3,587$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,992$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 1,246$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 20c | 941.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 758$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 48c | 624.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.97 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 599.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 460.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 263.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 63c | 160.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 37c | 155.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 132.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 34c | 102.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 23c | 64.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 32c | 49.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 75c | 39.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +10.0wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 50c | 29.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 66c | 24.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 17.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.