MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbe18a3c6c083c33295b9dc16ff19ca511c9a582d6965dd3c5c5f72415fbf6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba48…5b0abacked Under | 51c | 53,877$27,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,456.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 39,823$19,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,605.99 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 8,313$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.48 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 52c | 4,120$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 3,223$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 2,845$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 2,186$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.9 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 1,549$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.02 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 1,465$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 1,308$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 1,054$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.52 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 50c | 976.32$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.86 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 975.94$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.44 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 860$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 757.08$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 651.33$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 619$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 52c | 576.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 68c | 529.53$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 444.43$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 389$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 51c | 358.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Over | 49c | 358.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 27c | 209.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Under | 74c | 194.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 149.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 145.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 49c | 118.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 110.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 50c | 102.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 50c | 73.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Over | 46c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 51c | 61.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 50c | 37.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 33c | 37.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 50c | 36.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 31c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 55c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 52c | 26.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 46c | 23.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 17.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.