TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,317 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c13,636$6,000 inWon+$7,636.3612640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels56c3,133$1,754 inLost-$1,754.4811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Angels56c3,000$1,680 inLost-$1,68077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels56c2,688$1,505 inLost-$1,505.443,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels56c2,161$1,214 inLost-$1,213.721,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels56c1,125$634 inLost-$633.62,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Los Angeles Angels56c1,111$622 inLost-$622.1667250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c908.91$395 inWon+$513.5936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels50c802$397 inLost-$397.2410,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels56c750$420 inLost-$4202,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels57c476.48$271 inLost-$271.431,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels56c400$224 inLost-$2246,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c308.95$134 inWon+$1758,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c300$150 inWon+$15029331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c250$105 inWon+$1451,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Los Angeles Angels58c250$145 inLost-$14511550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Los Angeles Angels56c242.99$136 inLost-$136.0811456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c232.56$100 inWon+$132.5647849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb85…f0a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c184.02$92 inWon+$92.011250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x320b…6057backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c140$70 inWon+$703847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c135.29$70 inWon+$64.949346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Los Angeles Angels58c104.05$60 inLost-$59.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb406…f0b7backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c100$44 inWon+$56475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c100$44 inWon+$5668942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Los Angeles Angels58c63$37 inLost-$36.5442455.4%235 W · 189 L-1.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Los Angeles Angels57c58.99$34 inLost-$33.6272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c56$24 inWon+$31.9246854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c56$24 inWon+$31.9272154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c46.51$20 inWon+$26.5146557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Los Angeles Angels48c38.46$18 inLost-$18.461,37454.2%745 W · 629 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels56c38$21 inLost-$21.281,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c28.85$15 inWon+$13.853360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers63c20$13 inWon+$7.45,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.