WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecb39be558039cd08f077072a00492bd7195c68b0d3e2673734374568414ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 23,495$12,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,487.38 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 20,392$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 52c | 17,123$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,219 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 16,061$7,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,709.28 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 52c | 7,617$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 49c | 5,062$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 48c | 5,043$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 2,867$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.16 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,146$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.82 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,671$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.55 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,562$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 48c | 1,536$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 48c | 631.44$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 575$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 450$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 52c | 302.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 302.12$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 48c | 223.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 179.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…6b48backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 47c | 100.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 60.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 57.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4feabacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 51c | 41.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 36.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 29.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 51c | 25.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Over | 53c | 24.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 48c | 21.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.