WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3660251c43dcec725d3bf6133e99f974c7ed1ca56358b0a61f1250c3968222a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Seattle Storm, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 52,617$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.82 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Storm | 6c | 9,206$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.53 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 3,840$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.07 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 4c | 3,474$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 2,748$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.18 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 6c | 1,592$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 197 | 28.4%56 W · 141 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Seattle Storm | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Seattle Storm | 7c | 1,113$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 1,050$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 330 | 49.7%164 W · 166 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 1,005$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 475 | 46.7%222 W · 253 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 813.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 525$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…9500backed Seattle Storm | 2c | 501.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 499.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 8c | 407$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 326 | 48.5%158 W · 168 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Storm | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…03d6backed Seattle Storm | 8c | 367.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…5e72backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 361.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Seattle Storm | 6c | 336.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked Seattle Storm | 19c | 283.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 253.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Seattle Storm | 20c | 178.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 160.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 152.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 131.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 99.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…6d7cbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverthis page
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.