CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcedd11061abb1de2bed5bdbc926d68d95d482e8772b4b65541339e0d94259063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof SPARTA, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 64c | 4,354$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked SPARTA | 36c | 3,912$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.55 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Walczaki | 56c | 2,386$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.79 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed Walczaki | 56c | 1,286$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.56 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 50c | 1,169$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Walczaki | 65c | 770.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.19 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked SPARTA | 55c | 649.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.49 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Walczaki | 54c | 642.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.46 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Walczaki | 65c | 638.97$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.64 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 35c | 569$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked SPARTA | 35c | 560.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed SPARTA | 36c | 316.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed SPARTA | 33c | 293.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed SPARTA | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked SPARTA | 35c | 283.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked SPARTA | 37c | 278.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed SPARTA | 40c | 260.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Walczaki | 51c | 251.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Walczaki | 67c | 244.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Walczaki | 57c | 231.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 45c | 192.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed SPARTA | 36c | 170.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 65c | 164.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Walczaki | 66c | 163.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked SPARTA | 63c | 157.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed SPARTA | 64c | 156.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Walczaki | 63c | 142.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Walczaki | 43c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed SPARTA | 36c | 138.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 48c | 127.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki | 43c | 122.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked SPARTA | 35c | 122.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 38c | 116.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed SPARTA | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 47c | 98.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 50c | 88.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1a…1635backed SPARTA | 44c | 84.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed Walczaki | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked SPARTA | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed SPARTA | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA | 35c | 52.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 64c | 49.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Walczaki | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…996bbacked Walczaki | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…2353backed Walczaki | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked SPARTA | 36c | 40.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed SPARTA | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Walczaki | 34c | 33.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Walczaki | 64c | 33.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…16cbbacked Walczaki | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Walczaki | 67c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…a753backed Walczaki | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…9523backed Walczaki | 67c | 27.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Walczaki | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked SPARTA | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Walczaki | 65c | 23.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Walczaki | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Walczaki | 51c | 20.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Walczaki | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Walczaki | 64c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.