CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb09f8c8b58485645e46175264717d42b597b5a129ee6dc85798e6c2c718aa10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 54c | 775.45$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki | 47c | 529.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Walczaki | 49c | 499.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Walczaki | 45c | 357.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed SPARTA | 54c | 349.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 58c | 244.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 59c | 181.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Walczaki | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Walczaki | 42c | 142.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed SPARTA | 56c | 60.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 61c | 57.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 67c | 37.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…b40ebacked SPARTA | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed SPARTA | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 53c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…19eebacked SPARTA | 58c | 22.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.