CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700a3776d05cfd643d26e6cd8473cf4b7d901afd78a43a5f0b40d7cf6ea91508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof MANA eSports, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked MANA eSports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MANA eSports | 66c | 1,736$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.07 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…8551backed Falcons Force | 73c | 1,308$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed MANA eSports | 68c | 1,052$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.03 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Falcons Force | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked MANA eSports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 49c | 806.87$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MANA eSports | 26c | 638.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked MANA eSports | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 33c | 560.61$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MANA eSports | 29c | 543.26$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…fa9fbacked MANA eSports | 2c | 509.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Falcons Force | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Falcons Force | 21c | 456.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.49 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 52c | 405.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.65 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 45c | 366.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MANA eSports | 51c | 357.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 44c | 343.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force | 34c | 331.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Falcons Force | 37c | 261.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 249.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…0626backed Falcons Force | 44c | 248.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Falcons Force | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked MANA eSports | 22c | 224.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Falcons Force | 42c | 219.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Falcons Force | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Falcons Force | 50c | 205.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MANA eSports | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 165.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MANA eSports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed Falcons Force | 79c | 148.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Falcons Force | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed MANA eSports | 61c | 128.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Falcons Force | 69c | 122.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked Falcons Force | 35c | 121.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Falcons Force | 56c | 115.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Falcons Force | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Falcons Force | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Falcons Force | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Falcons Force | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 184 | 50%92 W · 92 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Falcons Force | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed MANA eSports | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Falcons Force | 33c | 76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 65c | 74.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5728…b961backed Falcons Force | 76c | 68.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed MANA eSports | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Falcons Force | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed MANA eSports | 26c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…a69abacked Falcons Force | 80c | 59.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed MANA eSports | 58c | 52.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Falcons Force | 29c | 50.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e03…c7cbbacked MANA eSports | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…2ee8backed Falcons Force | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Falcons Force | 64c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…29b9backed MANA eSports | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Falcons Force | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed MANA eSports | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked MANA eSports | 65c | 20.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.