Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3c97232919b21244bdc082194287213b25b39b49cdf1c0505f1f2569a6dc45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Power Rangers, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Power Rangers | 1c | 13,800$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Inner Circle | 44c | 4,364$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.46 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Power Rangers | 55c | 3,653$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 1,813$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.1 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Power Rangers | 46c | 902.13$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.72 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 37c | 658.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Power Rangers | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…2422backed Power Rangers | 8c | 543.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Inner Circle | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Power Rangers | 51c | 490.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Inner Circle | 44c | 450.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Inner Circle | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Power Rangers | 25c | 322.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Inner Circle | 46c | 216.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Power Rangers | 30c | 207.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…ca20backed Inner Circle | 50c | 205.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Inner Circle | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Power Rangers | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 150.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Inner Circle | 47c | 131.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Power Rangers | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Power Rangers | 27c | 101.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Power Rangers | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Power Rangers | 21c | 91.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Power Rangers | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed Inner Circle | 79c | 76.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Power Rangers | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 27.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…1c83backed Inner Circle | 47c | 27.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Power Rangers | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle (BO3)Inner Circle won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.