CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb17e3e32b3c20491586925d9578a7a601b6e700ec3a40830d502f7f1013bd5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof ex-RUBY, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 42c | 3,677$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-RUBY | 47c | 3,637$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.51 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Omega | 46c | 3,327$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.23 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ex-RUBY | 2c | 1,514$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,439$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 934.95$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.37 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 900$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.71 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 24c | 829.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 737.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 673.91$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.7 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 24c | 490.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 469$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 452.6$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 443.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 321.17$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 307.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 58c | 305.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 299$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Omega | 25c | 289.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 262$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 252.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 244.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 46c | 231.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Omega | 25c | 227.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 222.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Omega | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Omega | 26c | 195.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 191$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 168$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 162.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 160.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked ex-RUBY | 19c | 157.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Omega | 13c | 153.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 147.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 145$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 140.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…7031backed Omega | 36c | 137.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…03d7backed Omega | 37c | 136.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Omega | 58c | 117$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 112.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 112.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Omega | 49c | 107.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Omega | 34c | 102.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 101.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed ex-RUBY | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Omega | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Omega | 63c | 97.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 73.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 39c | 71.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Omega | 30c | 70.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…a39dbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 30c | 58.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 58.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 45.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 30.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 28.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed Omega | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Omega | 67c | 23.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked Omega | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ddf9backed Omega | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…f02fbacked Omega | 79c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 13.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.