CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ffda43448e916552d6e73799146eb313987db24fc63f8daeb87fcb4e9bc209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof ex-RUBY, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 5,050$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.77 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 38c | 3,644$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,100$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.23 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 999$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.55 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 49c | 798.91$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 21c | 717.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 415.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Omega | 56c | 355.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 199.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 194$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 181.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 165$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 149.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 23c | 131.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUBY | 25c | 116.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 113.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 106.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…64a5backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 88.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Omega | 52c | 76.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Omega | 46c | 61.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Omega | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6c88backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed Omega | 33c | 37.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Omega | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 16.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 PlayoffsOmega won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.