Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab000f5f2a5271017288e39c3111db02d9268080b420c7ea1d0ea0f8e6ec2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Southern Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 38c | 1,923$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Southern Jaguars | 1c | 1,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Jaguars | 66c | 1,865$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 23c | 1,277$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Jaguars | 73c | 1,161$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.77 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 34c | 1,150$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.23 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Jaguars | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 20c | 943.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Southern Jaguars | 67c | 921.22$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.49 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Jaguars | 55c | 614.8$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Southern Jaguars | 6c | 550$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Jaguars | 48c | 520.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Jaguars | 79c | 502.8$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.19 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 20c | 499.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.73 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Jaguars | 68c | 489.51$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Jaguars | 46c | 479$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 13c | 464.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.23 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Southern Jaguars | 43c | 376$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Southern Jaguars | 77c | 370$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Southern Jaguars | 64c | 296.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26c | 270.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Southern Jaguars | 76c | 258.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 56c | 245$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 17c | 221.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 174.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Jaguars | 77c | 156.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…e650backed Southern Jaguars | 71c | 139.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Southern Jaguars | 75c | 134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Southern Jaguars | 76c | 130.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Southern Jaguars | 67c | 125.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Jaguars | 64c | 117.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Southern Jaguars | 41c | 81.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 19c | 80.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26c | 76.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Southern Jaguars | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 31c | 63.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 19c | 53.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…ec33backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Southern Jaguars | 78c | 42.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Southern Jaguars | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 54c | 35.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Southern Jaguars | 78c | 34.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Southern Jaguars | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Southern Jaguars | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southern Jaguars | 80c | 14.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsthis page
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 154.5Under won
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 155.5Under won
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-8.5)Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.