Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Federico Iannaccone vs Juan Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9fabfede2b46e228fe66a6f456af81b3d5c582b133d4cd1119fff440b685bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Martinof Federico Iannaccone, Juan Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Juan Martin | 45c | 1,009$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Juan Martin | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Martin | 55c | 955.73$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Federico Iannaccone | 54c | 740.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Federico Iannaccone | 55c | 732.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Juan Martin | 41c | 526$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Iannaccone | 53c | 487.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Federico Iannaccone | 36c | 374.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Iannaccone | 53c | 369.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Juan Martin | 48c | 358.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 50c | 274$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Martin | 73c | 270.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Federico Iannaccone | 55c | 239.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Federico Iannaccone | 48c | 225.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 224.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Federico Iannaccone | 55c | 188.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Martin | 44c | 180.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Juan Martin | 35c | 162.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Federico Iannaccone | 40c | 156.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federico Iannaccone | 41c | 155.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Federico Iannaccone | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Federico Iannaccone | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Martin | 33c | 108.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 42c | 105.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Juan Martin | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Federico Iannaccone | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Federico Iannaccone | 57c | 65.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Federico Iannaccone | 57c | 59.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Federico Iannaccone | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Juan Martin | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Martin | 47c | 33.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Martin | 58c | 30.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Juan Martin | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Juan Martin | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Juan Martin | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Juan Martin | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Juan Martin | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed Juan Martin | 66c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Federico Iannaccone | 54c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.