CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104ab9e25392ba63f54efcf107f3f506926962e15f3ce878a45b07c47ee05510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,489$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.95 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 40c | 1,288$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.85 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 57c | 943.91$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.06 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 922.5$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 60c | 852.61$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 786.28$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.87 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Over | 47c | 666.85$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Under | 55c | 561.07$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 50c | 540.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.93 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 53c | 505.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.17 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 90.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…a065backed Over | 47c | 57.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…4320backed Over | 49c | 46.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…c21fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 42.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 52c | 40.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e854backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…4423backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 44c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Over | 64c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.