Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe0adf582881c5330b2bef5b1640fabdb7df7339ce640e5c3230c1f24b433ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poor Rangersof Poor Rangers, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 44,604$29,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 40,705$12,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,815.3 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Poor Rangers | 35c | 16,836$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,894.16 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 14,354$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.87 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Poor Rangers | 34c | 8,921$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,887.59 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 7,960$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,446.48 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 7,498$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Poor Rangers | 57c | 6,900$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.65 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 6,356$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.13 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 6,283$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Poor Rangers | 32c | 5,944$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 5,688$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.42 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 5,638$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.12 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Poor Rangers | 30c | 5,129$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.96 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Poor Rangers | 31c | 5,003$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.76 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Poor Rangers | 38c | 4,812$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.41 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 4,386$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.18 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 3,570$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.08 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 3,556$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.98 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 3,500$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 3,316$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 3,290$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 3,250$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 3,152$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.3 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,950$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.48 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 2,891$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.23 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 2,851$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 2,644$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.59 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 2,626$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.31 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 2,500$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,461$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Poor Rangers | 31c | 2,229$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.69 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Poor Rangers | 32c | 2,210$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.86 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Poor Rangers | 30c | 2,137$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.61 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 2,124$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.57 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Poor Rangers | 45c | 2,115$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.14 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Poor Rangers | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Poor Rangers | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Poor Rangers | 46c | 1,780$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.79 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 1,737$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.56 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 1,626$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.79 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Poor Rangers | 35c | 1,610$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.08 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Poor Rangers | 19c | 1,577$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.12 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,555$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f6d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 1,422$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 1,393$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.98 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Poor Rangers | 33c | 1,387$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.38 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,377$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.45 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,341$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.92 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Poor Rangers | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…05d9backed Poor Rangers | 46c | 1,299$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…d4bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,270$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,258$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.03 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,229$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.46 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Poor Rangers | 78c | 1,156$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 1,128$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,102$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.58 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 1,050$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,006$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.87 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Poor Rangers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Poor Rangers | 38c | 998.58$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.93 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 981.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.59 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 961.54$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Poor Rangers | 31c | 919.35$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.35 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 908.86$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 900$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 878.69$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 872.4$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.83 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Poor Rangers | 26c | 862$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.88 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Poor Rangers | 57c | 856.34$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.19 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 849.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.49 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 849.32$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 815.76$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.09 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Poor Rangers | 37c | 783.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.28 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 758.56$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.82 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 749.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 741.53$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.11 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 728.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Poor Rangers | 26c | 706.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.21 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 697.87$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 689.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 637.1$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Poor Rangers | 30c | 619.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.37 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Poor Rangers | 42c | 600$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 581.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.25 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 557$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.41 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Poor Rangers | 54c | 537.07$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 531$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Poor Rangers | 76c | 524.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…fb20backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 519.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.