Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0d87be3d592fbddcf1b85dc905882c75654a535e61951a717fd8462dab90e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Poor Rangers, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 29,874$20,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,772.59 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 27,652$18,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.13 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 21,700$9,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,145.68 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Poor Rangers | 37c | 13,267$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.19 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Poor Rangers | 31c | 9,668$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Poor Rangers | 35c | 9,542$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 8,921$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.66 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Poor Rangers | 36c | 6,500$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.66 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 5,144$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.12 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Poor Rangers | 33c | 5,043$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.19 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 4,610$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.69 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Poor Rangers | 45c | 4,531$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.5 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Poor Rangers | 34c | 4,219$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.39 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Poor Rangers | 24c | 4,185$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 3,323$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 3,017$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.82 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Poor Rangers | 23c | 2,900$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Poor Rangers | 35c | 2,767$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.24 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Poor Rangers | 30c | 2,764$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,662$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.06 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Poor Rangers | 41c | 2,438$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 2,424$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 2,305$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.71 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 2,293$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 2,174$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Poor Rangers | 34c | 2,100$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,853$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.73 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,823$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.02 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Poor Rangers | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Poor Rangers | 35c | 1,708$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 1,685$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.5 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Poor Rangers | 29c | 1,588$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Poor Rangers | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 1,476$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 1,472$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.86 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,431$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.47 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,407$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Poor Rangers | 34c | 1,389$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.26 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Poor Rangers | 29c | 1,352$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 1,264$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.12 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,143$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,088$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 1,065$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.11 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 1,052$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.47 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Poor Rangers | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.92 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Poor Rangers | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 994.99$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.3 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 927.08$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.29 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Poor Rangers | 35c | 923.36$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.25 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Poor Rangers | 37c | 900.86$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Poor Rangers | 26c | 889.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 880$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 878.38$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 875$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 799.99$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 794.48$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Poor Rangers | 23c | 771$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Poor Rangers | 2c | 720$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Poor Rangers | 28c | 717.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Poor Rangers | 26c | 702.03$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 674.91$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…d4bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 655.34$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Poor Rangers | 33c | 650$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f6d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 647.28$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 635.02$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 619$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Poor Rangers | 65c | 618.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 617.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 592.07$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 590.79$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Poor Rangers | 55c | 520.67$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 513$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 508.02$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Poor Rangers | 28c | 501.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Poor Rangers | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Poor Rangers | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 458.32$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Poor Rangers | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 415.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 407.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Poor Rangers | 36c | 404.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 401.52$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 383.77$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Poor Rangers | 34c | 374.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 358.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Poor Rangers | 28c | 351$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Poor Rangers | 35c | 338.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 336.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Poor Rangers | 19c | 331.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Poor Rangers | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Poor Rangers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerPoor Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.