Fifa International · resolved market
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089afb0eaf673c9f90271143c0a4eb9ec361627cab1b1cba399ebde834c26e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 59c | 1,186$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.85 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 41c | 690$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 58c | 624.83$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 75c | 504.84$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 25c | 463.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 383.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 42c | 356.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Yes | 41c | 310$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 42c | 269.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 58c | 246.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 25c | 191.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 38c | 130.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…df21backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 111.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Yes | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 60c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 61.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…aa5bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 57.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Yes | 52c | 53.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 68c | 50.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…4b35backed Yes | 42c | 48.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 33c | 44.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…97fcbacked Yes | 43c | 39.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 37.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…8327backed Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Yes | 53c | 26.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ali Al Hamadi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ali Al Hamadi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bamba Dieng: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- El Hadji Malick Diouf: 2+ assistsNo won
- Habib Diarra: 1+ goalsYes won
- Habib Diarra: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Idrissa Gana Guèye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Iliman Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
- Krépin Diatta: 1+ assistsNo won
- Krépin Diatta: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Camara: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Camara: 3+ goalsNo won
- Meme: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.