Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1dab12ed21eb4c70a11eda6c1bbc5ae2fd026cec6ee57be5648a947dd539a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof 1win, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 52c | 140,918$73,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,448.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 50c | 68,600$34,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,417.15 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 37c | 39,000$14,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,328.14 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 56c | 11,617$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 55c | 10,029$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 57c | 10,020$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.72 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 41c | 10,000$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.36 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 63c | 9,091$5,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.12 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed OG | 50c | 7,949$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.57 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 72c | 7,649$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 47c | 7,497$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.53 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed OG | 59c | 7,184$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.33 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 66c | 6,611$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.82 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 67c | 6,400$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked OG | 33c | 6,360$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.18 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed OG | 33c | 4,600$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.99 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 66c | 4,524$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.92 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 29c | 4,021$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.85 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked 1win | 27c | 3,883$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed 1win | 69c | 3,816$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.81 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed OG | 58c | 3,586$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.3 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 55c | 3,435$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.17 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked OG | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.24 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 34c | 2,649$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.49 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed OG | 65c | 2,628$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.36 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed 1win | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 75c | 2,328$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.94 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 40c | 2,114$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.24 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed OG | 32c | 1,959$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.03 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 60c | 1,926$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.23 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked 1win | 5c | 1,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked OG | 34c | 1,630$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 31c | 1,575$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.66 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 36c | 1,526$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.64 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed OG | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed OG | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 33c | 1,487$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.2 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 34c | 1,446$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.17 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 47c | 1,397$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed 1win | 66c | 1,395$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.7 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked OG | 28c | 1,393$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 34c | 1,345$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.59 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 63c | 1,322$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.97 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 50c | 1,311$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.06 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed 1win | 27c | 1,200$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 38c | 1,181$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.51 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 16c | 1,172$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 77c | 1,078$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 54c | 1,036$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.21 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b7…d4f5backed 1win | 21c | 1,017$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed OG | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked 1win | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed 1win | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 68c | 988.1$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OG | 68c | 978.15$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked OG | 59c | 916.5$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.5 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 45c | 888.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed 1win | 66c | 866.19$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.69 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 1win | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed 1win | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed OG | 39c | 750$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked OG | 71c | 706.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed 1win | 3c | 700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed OG | 67c | 657$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked 1win | 59c | 644.95$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 34c | 629.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.67 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked 1win | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed 1win | 57c | 594.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed OG | 64c | 573.15$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 64c | 553.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.63 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed OG | 37c | 552.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.34 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed OG | 58c | 536.94$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed 1win | 53c | 532.95$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 66c | 499.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win | 68c | 493.08$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 32c | 473.23$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked 1win | 61c | 470.48$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked OG | 60c | 420.63$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 48c | 420$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 50c | 416.6$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed 1win | 73c | 412.22$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed OG | 27c | 412.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.92 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked OG | 77c | 408.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed OG | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed OG | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked OG | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed OG | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…4b51backed OG | 52c | 386.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed OG | 73c | 382.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked OG | 33c | 362.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed 1win | 45c | 361.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 69c | 355.95$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 1win | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 31c | 349.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed OG | 61c | 305$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked OG | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.