Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d97ea75b3ebf424a1a135bc20e39e4ed48de3ce841975a4a54e2686c5aeb2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 69c | 15,993$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.52 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 33c | 14,124$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.43 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed 1win | 61c | 12,325$7,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.24 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed OG | 62c | 11,837$7,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,312.6 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 73c | 11,105$8,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.96 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 50c | 9,081$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.74 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed OG | 31c | 8,362$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.22 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed OG | 32c | 7,219$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.92 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 15c | 6,968$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.24 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 18c | 6,948$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.09 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed OG | 30c | 6,250$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed 1win | 76c | 5,821$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.54 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 48c | 5,721$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.11 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 70c | 4,397$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.94 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed OG | 31c | 4,030$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.3 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 56c | 3,530$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.66 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 27c | 3,524$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.29 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed OG | 32c | 3,000$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.67 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 28c | 2,957$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.98 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked 1win | 77c | 2,814$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.47 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed 1win | 63c | 2,657$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.21 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 41c | 2,475$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.67 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 50c | 2,265$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.2 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 31c | 2,250$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 29c | 2,234$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.21 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 80c | 2,049$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.2 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 46c | 2,016$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.28 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 46c | 2,004$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.84 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked OG | 33c | 1,959$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.09 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 69c | 1,881$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.03 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed 1win | 49c | 1,839$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked OG | 40c | 1,701$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.18 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.11 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 26c | 1,548$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked 1win | 55c | 1,505$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.09 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 21c | 1,502$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed 1win | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1win | 69c | 1,448$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.76 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 23c | 1,429$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked OG | 26c | 1,420$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed 1win | 45c | 1,343$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.16 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 48c | 1,248$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.99 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed OG | 28c | 1,240$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked 1win | 68c | 1,224$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 80c | 1,162$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1win | 74c | 1,122$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked OG | 20c | 1,114$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked OG | 20c | 1,063$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 48c | 1,051$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked OG | 14c | 1,045$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 15c | 1,029$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed OG | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed OG | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 31c | 978.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3a…269fbacked OG | 19c | 874.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 49c | 845.21$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.94 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 47c | 763.08$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.51 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG | 14c | 722.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed 1win | 69c | 712.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 24c | 695.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 14c | 689.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 23c | 658.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed OG | 28c | 640$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed 1win | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked 1win | 47c | 563.74$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked OG | 20c | 561$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…17febacked OG | 18c | 551.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 55c | 524.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 38c | 514.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b014backed OG | 50c | 509.48$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed OG | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked 1win | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed 1win | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed OG | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked 1win | 58c | 494.82$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.82 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1win | 53c | 494.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.23 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed OG | 27c | 416.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed 1win | 67c | 412.95$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed OG | 27c | 412.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed 1win | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked OG | 24c | 399.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed 1win | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed OG | 27c | 368.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked 1win | 75c | 353.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed OG | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked OG | 62c | 320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked 1win | 71c | 316.53$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed OG | 27c | 314.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 63c | 305$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked OG | 41c | 304.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…7ddfbacked OG | 43c | 302.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed 1win | 66c | 301.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed OG | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked OG | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…4b51backed OG | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.