TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$892,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$892,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes0c7,977$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.956141%25 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes1c6,566$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5711522.6%26 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes2c5,908$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0380%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce3f…ad7fbacked Yes2c5,771$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0f…53e4backed Yes0c4,648$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c2…c1e6backed Yes4c4,182$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73d…40c6backed Yes26c3,792$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d2…21bdbacked Yes5c3,510$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes2c3,444$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.334333.5%115 W · 228 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…e6f2backed Yes4c3,321$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea31…afd0backed Yes6c3,263$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c0…ec78backed Yes3c3,238$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…139abacked Yes6c3,155$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4828backed Yes4c3,147$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb5…bb28backed Yes4c3,132$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa358…a91fbacked No80c3,100$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b17…3e08backed Yes4c3,090$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…f4eabacked Yes6c2,884$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a2…a620backed Yes4c2,807$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8163…b61dbacked Yes4c2,782$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1af…76aebacked Yes4c2,616$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b54…50d6backed Yes4c2,578$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x364f…f661backed Yes4c2,556$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…3213backed Yes5c2,553$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…93b8backed Yes4c2,539$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e2…9ff0backed Yes6c2,496$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ad…407bbacked Yes6c2,300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3580…53c3backed Yes5c2,297$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd72…b1e2backed Yes6c2,286$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2d…e472backed Yes4c2,236$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816c…24aebacked Yes4c2,212$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4f…bc74backed Yes6c2,187$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d1…55dbbacked Yes6c2,177$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf8fbacked Yes5c2,163$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f8…0a7abacked Yes4c2,162$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…71ffbacked Yes6c2,151$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad9…a138backed Yes5c2,147$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb894…0247backed Yes6c2,128$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3905…4978backed Yes6c2,122$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c19…ee7ebacked Yes5c2,121$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x954d…b528backed Yes6c2,109$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3708…a7debacked Yes5c2,081$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc723…c564backed Yes5c2,061$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes2c2,059$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9115232.9%50 W · 102 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec79…b56abacked Yes5c2,058$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff40…c553backed Yes4c2,057$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4e…3c05backed Yes6c2,056$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc97…d04abacked Yes6c2,023$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…7bfebacked Yes5c2,018$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd390…8705backed Yes5c2,010$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…4df8backed Yes28c1,969$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd9…9ce8backed Yes4c1,961$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90b9…11bdbacked Yes5c1,953$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…477cbacked Yes4c1,906$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7e9bbacked Yes4c1,901$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd904…3d8fbacked Yes6c1,875$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…423cbacked Yes4c1,873$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…7e98backed Yes4c1,864$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…8ff2backed Yes6c1,832$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…009cbacked Yes4c1,826$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e8…cf6fbacked Yes4c1,818$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9b2…0dbabacked Yes4c1,817$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab2…7b95backed Yes4c1,809$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes2c1,804$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0821033.3%70 W · 140 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…44fabacked Yes5c1,792$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…5b6abacked Yes4c1,791$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a7…3433backed Yes5c1,788$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e1…07c4backed Yes4c1,772$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…a3acbacked Yes5c1,771$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6961…96fdbacked Yes4c1,747$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes3c1,725$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.661823.8%7 W · 175 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b1…9680backed Yes22c1,717$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a7…4d60backed Yes4c1,702$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d98…eecebacked Yes4c1,690$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4d…7e05backed Yes4c1,652$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fda8backed Yes5c1,631$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…f78ebacked Yes5c1,598$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fb…8750backed Yes4c1,584$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e04…7cbdbacked Yes5c1,578$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0564…bb8abacked Yes6c1,574$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe817…9527backed Yes5c1,531$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b26…06c5backed Yes4c1,522$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb7…a418backed Yes5c1,508$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd062…72f0backed Yes4c1,506$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec8…fd95backed Yes4c1,499$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x809a…ec60backed Yes3c1,468$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…5e23backed Yes4c1,460$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9e…245dbacked Yes6c1,456$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd686…e09dbacked Yes5c1,445$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff4…7409backed Yes6c1,430$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d4…2872backed Yes4c1,428$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd7…8d5ebacked Yes6c1,376$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa022…7a52backed Yes5c1,372$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3083…b006backed Yes5c1,369$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabab…b6fabacked Yes4c1,358$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…a439backed Yes5c1,357$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…5a82backed Yes4c1,354$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b1…b447backed Yes4c1,352$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f8…9e09backed Yes6c1,346$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…f22bbacked Yes4c1,344$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.